Edges for Sep 26, 2026
K 0 · P 28 · 28 edges
Batches vary in size: only markets that clear the edge threshold are published.
28 of 28 edges shown
- pop culturePolymarket3d
How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?
AI32%MKT8%Edge+24Hidden GemI think a 15 million-view week for Netflix’s global number-one movie is possible but not the base case. The most likely outcome is that the leader lands below the threshold, with Yes closer to one-in-three than the market’s implied one-in-thirteen.
- politicsPolymarket4d
Trump renames AI by...?
AI42%MKT19%Edge+23Hidden GemTrump has already publicly announced the new terminology, but this market only resolves Yes if there is a qualifying official action by September 30. I see a meaningful chance of a formal order, but not enough to make it more likely than not.
- economyPolymarket4d
No change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by...?
AI22%MKT8%Edge+14UndervaluedThe market currently leans toward another 25 bps hike, so the near-term challenge is not just a brief dip in hike odds but four consecutive hourly prints with no change above hike. That makes the Yes outcome possible if the September 30 PCE report softens expectations, but it still looks meaningfully less likely than No.
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- pop culturePolymarket#4
"Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office
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Pro - economyPolymarket#5
What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#6
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
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Pro - cryptoPolymarket#7
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
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Pro - cryptoPolymarket#8
Will Jumper launch a token by ___?
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Pro - sportsPolymarket#9
England vs. Spain
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Pro - techPolymarket#10
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
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Pro - pop culturePolymarket#11
#1 Box Office This Weekend?
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#12
Which party will win the House in 2026?
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#13
Maine Senate Election Winner
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#14
Next French Presidential Election
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Pro - economyPolymarket#15
Largest Company end of December 2026?
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Pro - pop culturePolymarket#16
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
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Pro - pop culturePolymarket#18
VMA Video of the Year 2026
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Pro - pop culturePolymarket#19
VMA Best Country 2026
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Pro - pop culturePolymarket#20
Elon Musk # tweets September 26 - September 28, 2026?
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Pro - economyPolymarket#21
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026
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Pro - cryptoPolymarket#22
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
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Pro - techPolymarket#23
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
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Pro - pop culturePolymarket#24
'The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore' First Week Album Sales?
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#25
Elon Musk # tweets September 24 - September 26, 2026?
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Pro - sportsPolymarket#26
EPL: 2027 Champion
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Pro - economyPolymarket#27
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#28
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
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