Edges for Sep 25, 2026
K 0 · P 30 · 30 edges
Batches vary in size: only markets that clear the edge threshold are published.
30 of 30 edges shown
- techPolymarket3mo
Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
AI93%MKT61%Edge+32Hidden GemThe market is strongly tilted toward Yes because a 2026 result already appears to have crossed 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam. The main remaining uncertainty is benchmark framing and source matching, not whether the threshold itself has been surpassed.
- economyPolymarket5d
No change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by...?
AI22%MKT7%Edge+15Hidden GemThe market currently leans toward another 25 bps hike, so the near-term challenge is not just a brief dip in hike odds but four consecutive hourly prints with no change above hike. That makes the Yes outcome possible if the September 30 PCE report softens expectations, but it still looks meaningfully less likely than No.
- cryptoPolymarket3mo
Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
AI38%MKT24%Edge+14UndervaluedI lean slightly toward Yes, but not strongly. The main reason is that if Extended does launch a token, the market is already signaling a valuation regime where a $500M FDV is not especially demanding, though the biggest uncertainty is whether a launch happens at all and whether the initial trading price holds up one day later.
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- pop culturePolymarket#4
What will be said during Episode 41 of Big Brother?
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Pro - techPolymarket#5
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#6
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
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Pro - cryptoPolymarket#7
Ethereum above ___ on September 27?
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Pro - pop culturePolymarket#8
#1 Box Office This Weekend?
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#9
Next French Presidential Election
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Pro - economyPolymarket#10
Central Bank of Colombia decision in October
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Pro - cryptoPolymarket#11
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
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Pro - techPolymarket#12
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
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Pro - pop culturePolymarket#13
"Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office
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Pro - pop culturePolymarket#14
Who will be featured on GTA VI: The Album?
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Pro - techPolymarket#15
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
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Pro - techPolymarket#16
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?
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Pro - techPolymarket#17
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#18
Maine Senate Election Winner
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Pro - economyPolymarket#19
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
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Pro - techPolymarket#20
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?
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Pro - techPolymarket#21
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
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Pro - pop culturePolymarket#22
Top Spotify Artist 2026
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Pro - pop culturePolymarket#23
What will be the top US Netflix show this week?
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Pro - electionsPolymarket#24
Which party will win the House in 2026?
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Pro - electionsPolymarket#25
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
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Pro - economyPolymarket#26
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
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Pro - cryptoPolymarket#27
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
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Pro - electionsPolymarket#28
Taipei Mayor Election Winner
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Pro - economyPolymarket#29
Largest Company end of December 2026?
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Pro - techPolymarket#30
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
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