Daily Edges
Today's edges
Sep 18, 2026 · AI vs market across Kalshi and Polymarket, one ranked list.
Refreshing: showing the latest batch52 of 52 edges shown
- pop culturePolymarketTomorrow
"Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office
AI58%MKT2%Edge+56Hidden GemI think there is a modest edge to the opening weekend finishing under $50 million, but it is far from certain. The current tracking cluster sits close to the line, so a result just above or just below $50 million remains the most plausible range.
- PoliticsKalshi1y
2026: Trump's dream year?
AI38%MKT4%Edge+34Hidden GemI think the bull case for Trump in 2026 is meaningfully more likely than the market implies, though still far from assured. My estimate is that there is roughly a 38% chance the favorable Trump-and-markets narrative remains intact through 2026.
- economyPolymarket4mo
Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
AI41%MKT20%Edge+21Hidden GemJapan’s core-core CPI is currently running right at 1.9%, which gives the Yes side real support. But because the market resolves on the full 2026 figure, not a single monthly print, the outcome still depends on whether inflation stays capped through the rest of the year.
- pop culturePolymarket42d
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
AI28%MKT9%Edge+19Hidden GemThe market is pricing in a low probability, and that looks broadly fair given the venue denials and apparent permit problems. Still, the chance is not negligible because organizers are still active and a relocation within Russia remains possible before the deadline.
- PoliticsKalshi1y
2026: Trump's bad year?
AI26%MKT11%Edge+15Hidden GemThe bear case for Trump in 2026 looks meaningfully more plausible than the market implies, driven by a real combination of legal defeats, institutional resistance, and the risk of a politically damaging midterm environment. I would price it closer to one-in-four than one-in-nine.
- EconomicsKalshi1y
Recession in 2027?
AI38%MKT26%Edge+12UndervaluedI think a 2027 recession is more likely than the market implies, but still not the base case. My independent estimate is 38%, reflecting a meaningful downside risk from valuation shocks, tightening financial conditions, and delayed effects from today’s investment and labor dynamics.
- See Oddia Pro
Unlock all 52 edges daily
Oddia Pro opens the full ranked list every morning.
- FinancialsKalshi#4
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - techPolymarket#4
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - SportsKalshi#5
Chicago Pro Football Team: Relocation
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - techPolymarket#5
Which company has the best AI model end of September?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - PoliticsKalshi#6
Who will Trump pardon?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - cryptoPolymarket#6
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - SportsKalshi#7
Will Scottie Scheffler win the grand slam before 2028?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - politicsPolymarket#7
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - WorldKalshi#8
Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - economyPolymarket#8
US recession by end of 2026?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - CompaniesKalshi#9
Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - politicsPolymarket#9
Berlin State Election Winner
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - CompaniesKalshi#10
Robinhood funded customers in 2026
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - sportsPolymarket#10
EPL: 2027 Champion
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - PoliticsKalshi#11
Will Trump resign during his term?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - economyPolymarket#11
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - PoliticsKalshi#12
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - techPolymarket#12
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - PoliticsKalshi#13
How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - economyPolymarket#13
Bank of Russia decision in October?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - PoliticsKalshi#14
Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - politicsPolymarket#14
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - PoliticsKalshi#15
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - electionsPolymarket#15
Which party will win the House in 2026?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - PoliticsKalshi#16
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - politicsPolymarket#16
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - PoliticsKalshi#17
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - techPolymarket#17
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - PoliticsKalshi#18
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - cryptoPolymarket#18
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - PoliticsKalshi#19
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - economyPolymarket#19
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - PoliticsKalshi#20
Will President Trump be impeached during his term?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - economyPolymarket#20
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - EconomicsKalshi#21
US real GDP growth in 2036?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - cryptoPolymarket#21
Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - PoliticsKalshi#22
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - pop culturePolymarket#22
Elon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - PoliticsKalshi#23
Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - politicsPolymarket#23
Next French Presidential Election
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - politicsPolymarket#24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - sportsPolymarket#25
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - economyPolymarket#26
Largest Company end of December 2026?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - economyPolymarket#27
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - pop culturePolymarket#28
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro - pop culturePolymarket#29
What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
AI probability and analysis open with Oddia Pro, or for everyone tomorrow.
Pro