Edges for Sep 27, 2026
K 30 · P 30 · 60 edges
60 of 60 edges shown
- PoliticsKalshi3mo
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?
AI97%MKT62%Edge+35Hidden GemI make this overwhelmingly likely to resolve Yes. The administration has already experienced multiple Cabinet departures in 2026, and the threshold for the market is only one departure before the January 2027 cutoff.
- techPolymarket3d
Trump renames AI by...?
AI43%MKT18%Edge+25Hidden GemTrump has clearly signaled that the federal government should use a new label for AI, and some official communications may already be shifting in that direction. But the market only resolves Yes if there is a qualifying presidential action or equivalent directive by September 30, and that formal step is still uncertain.
- PoliticsKalshi3mo
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
AI32%MKT12%Edge+20Hidden GemI think there is a meaningful chance Trump invokes the Insurrection Act, but it is still far from the base case. My independent estimate is 32%, higher than the market’s 15% because the administration appears willing to escalate in response to protests, immigration unrest, or election-related disorder.
- pop culturePolymarketToday
VMA Best Latin 2026
AI44%MKT26%Edge+18Hidden GemChoka Choka is a serious contender, but the category looks close enough that I give it a slight underdog position versus the field. I would price its win chance at 44%, with Bad Bunny and the broader competition keeping the outcome uncertain.
- economyPolymarketTomorrow
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026
AI22%MKT7%Edge+15Hidden GemI think August JOLTS job openings are more likely to stay at or above 7.0 million than fall below it, though the margin is not huge. A modest decline from July is plausible, but the available signals do not point to a large enough drop to make a sub-7.0 million reading the most likely outcome.
- EconomicsKalshi3mo
When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO?
AI22%MKT8%Edge+14UndervaluedI think an official Fannie Mae IPO announcement before the market deadline is possible but still unlikely. The balance of evidence favors no announcement, though the political backdrop leaves a meaningful outside chance of a sudden policy-driven shift.
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- SportsKalshi#4
When will Bill Belichick leave North Carolina?
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Pro - economyPolymarket#4
What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?
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Pro - SportsKalshi#5
When will Greg Schiano leave Rutgers?
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Pro - techPolymarket#5
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?
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Pro - EconomicsKalshi#6
Next Fed rate hike?
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#6
Bulgaria Presidential Election
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Pro - FinancialsKalshi#7
When will Canva officially announce an IPO?
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Pro - pop culturePolymarket#7
#1 Box Office This Weekend?
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Pro - FinancialsKalshi#8
When will Bloomberg officially announce an IPO?
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Pro - electionsPolymarket#8
Taipei Mayor Election Winner
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#9
Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#9
Which party will win the House in 2026?
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#10
When will the debt limit be increased?
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Pro - electionsPolymarket#10
Maine Senate Election Winner
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Pro - SportsKalshi#11
Franklin Arias: Debut Date
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Pro - techPolymarket#11
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#12
Will 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law?
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Pro - economyPolymarket#12
2026 World GDP Growth
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#13
When will the Kennedy Center's main building reopen?
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Pro - pop culturePolymarket#13
VMA Artist of the Year 2026
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#14
When will Canada and the EU begin association talks?
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Pro - pop culturePolymarket#14
"Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#15
When will Trump, Xi and Putin meet together?
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Pro - techPolymarket#15
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#16
When will AI biosecurity safeguards become U.S. law?
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Pro - techPolymarket#16
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
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Pro - EconomicsKalshi#17
When will Whoop officially announce an IPO?
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
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Pro - SportsKalshi#18
Jesús Made: Debut Date
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Pro - economyPolymarket#18
Largest Company end of December 2026?
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Pro - SportsKalshi#19
Thomas Tuchel: Out by Date
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Pro - electionsPolymarket#19
North Carolina Senate Election Winner
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#20
Will a cabinet member be impeached?
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#20
Elon Musk # tweets September 26 - September 28, 2026?
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#21
When will Trump, Zelenskyy and Putin meet together?
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Pro - techPolymarket#21
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#22
When will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica?
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Pro - techPolymarket#22
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#23
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
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Pro - cryptoPolymarket#23
Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
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Pro - EconomicsKalshi#24
When will Oura officially announce an IPO?
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Pro - economyPolymarket#24
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#25
Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?
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Pro - techPolymarket#25
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#26
When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?
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Pro - techPolymarket#26
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#27
When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
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Pro - techPolymarket#27
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#28
Will the UK reverse the Diego Garcia sovereignty transfer?
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#28
Next French Presidential Election
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#29
Will Congress override Trump's veto?
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#29
Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#30
Will Trump recognize Somaliland?
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Pro - cryptoPolymarket#30
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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