K 0 · P 30 · 30 edges
Batches vary in size: only markets that clear the edge threshold are published.
30 of 30 edges shown
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
The strongest reading is that the U.S. already crossed the threshold in 2026, so Yes is more likely than the market implies. The main reason to stay below certainty is that the resolution standard hinges on whether the operations are judged an invasion or only sustained strikes and blockade activity.
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Mike Lee is more likely than not to support a final Senate passage vote on crypto market structure legislation if it reaches the floor, but the bigger drag is whether such a vote happens at all before 2027. I estimate a modest yes probability because his ideology and the available vote context lean pro-crypto, yet the legislative path remains highly uncertain.
What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?
This looks like a low-to-moderate probability Yes, because Trump has a natural tendency to repeat big-number language, but the event is a formal state arrival ceremony that may keep his remarks shorter and more scripted than usual. The current market price near 23% seems broadly reasonable, and I would stay close to that range.
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Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?
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ProBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
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ProPredict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
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Pro#1 Box Office This Weekend?
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ProGeorgia Governor Election Winner
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ProFed decisions (Sep–Dec)
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ProBulgaria Presidential Election
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ProVariational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
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ProWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
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ProBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
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ProNext Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?
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ProNext Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
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ProFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
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ProWhich artists will release new albums in 2026?
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ProTaipei Mayor Election Winner
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ProNext French Presidential Election
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ProWhich party will win the House in 2026?
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ProUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
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ProNext Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?
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ProTexas Governor Election Winner
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Pro#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?
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ProThird-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
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ProTexas Senate Election Winner
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ProStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
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ProUS recession by end of 2026?
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ProTrump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?
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ProU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
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