Edges for Sep 20, 2026
K 30 · P 30 · 60 edges
60 of 60 edges shown
- PoliticsKalshi1y
2026: Trump's bad year?
AI71%MKT7%Edge+64Hidden GemTrump looks more likely than not to have a clearly negative 2026 by the market’s own bear-case standard: repeated legal setbacks, court limits, and headline damage are already piling up. The market appears to be pricing an almost-no-risk outcome despite a year that is structurally set up for more confrontation and reversals.
- SportsKalshi1y
Will Scottie Scheffler win the grand slam before 2028?
AI28%MKT5%Edge+23Hidden GemScheffler has a real, non-trivial path to the career grand slam within this window, and the market looks too pessimistic at 5%. I’d put the chance around 28% because his baseline major-winning rate is elite and he still has multiple attempts before 2028.
- pop culturePolymarketEnded
"Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office
AI24%MKT2%Edge+22Hidden GemI think a sub-$10 million second weekend is possible but still not the most likely outcome. The opening was soft enough to raise concern, yet a $30 million debut still gives the film a lot of room to stay above that threshold unless the drop is unusually severe.
- CompaniesKalshi1y
Starbucks total global stores in 2026
AI95%MKT78%Edge+17Hidden GemStarbucks looks highly likely to finish 2026 above 41,800 global stores. The latest reported count and management’s net-new store guidance already place the company on a path comfortably above the threshold unless there is an unusually large reversal.
- pop culturePolymarket4d
What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?
AI95%MKT79%Edge+16Hidden GemNetanyahu is very likely to say “Israel” at least 10 times in a UN General Assembly speech, especially given the expected focus on security, Gaza, Iran, and diplomatic recognition. The current market price of 96% looks reasonable, though not quite risk-free because exact phrasing can vary.
- economyPolymarket24d
September Inflation China - Annual
AI16%MKT2%Edge+14UndervaluedChina’s CPI is more likely to stay above 0.4% than fall back to that threshold, given the recent pickup in headline and core inflation. Weak demand still restrains inflation, but the latest data make an ultra-low September reading look unlikely.
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- PoliticsKalshi#4
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#4
Trump x Greenland deal signed by...?
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Pro - SportsKalshi#5
Chicago Pro Football Team: Relocation
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Pro - techPolymarket#5
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
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Pro - WorldKalshi#6
Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#6
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
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Pro - EconomicsKalshi#7
US real GDP growth in 2036?
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Pro - cryptoPolymarket#7
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
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Pro - CompaniesKalshi#8
Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
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Pro - techPolymarket#8
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
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Pro - EconomicsKalshi#9
Recession in 2027?
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Pro - economyPolymarket#9
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#10
Who will Trump pardon?
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Pro - sportsPolymarket#10
EPL: 2027 Champion
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#11
Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?
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Pro - pop culturePolymarket#11
Top Spotify Artist 2026
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#12
Will President Trump be impeached during his term?
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Pro - pop culturePolymarket#12
What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#13
Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
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Pro - pop culturePolymarket#13
Elon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#14
Which agencies will Trump eliminate?
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Pro - economyPolymarket#14
US recession by end of 2026?
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#15
Will a cabinet member be impeached?
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#15
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#16
Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#16
Which party will win the House in 2026?
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#17
Will Trump add a 51st state to the US?
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#17
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
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Pro - EconomicsKalshi#18
Fed decision in Dec 2027?
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Pro - economyPolymarket#18
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#19
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
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Pro - pop culturePolymarket#19
CMA Vocal Duo of the Year 2026
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#20
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#20
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
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Pro - EconomicsKalshi#21
Will there be a Trump economic boom?
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#21
Next French Presidential Election
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Pro - EconomicsKalshi#22
US real GDP growth in 2035?
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Pro - economyPolymarket#22
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#23
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
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Pro - techPolymarket#23
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#24
Will Trump resign during his term?
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#25
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#25
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#26
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?
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Pro - cryptoPolymarket#26
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#27
Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?
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Pro - techPolymarket#27
Which company has the best AI model end of September?
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Pro - CompaniesKalshi#28
When will any company achieve AGI?
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Pro - techPolymarket#28
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#29
Will the US take control of any part of Canada?
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Pro - pop culturePolymarket#29
Elon Musk # tweets September 21 - September 23, 2026?
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#30
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
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Pro - pop culturePolymarket#30
CMA Female Vocalist of the Year 2026
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