What songs will be played at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
Slight lean to No: the market is probably right, but I’d trim it a bit because there’s still no setlist or Alicia Keys confirmation for "Empire State of Mind." JAY-Z is the only announced headliner, and this is one of his signature songs.
Analysis
The freshest fact is still the October 26, 2026 announcement that JAY-Z is the sole confirmed halftime headliner for February 14, 2027. That makes a performance of one of his biggest crossover songs plausible, but there is no official setlist or guest lineup yet.
"Empire State of Mind" is strongly associated with JAY-Z, but it also commonly depends on Alicia Keys for the full effect, and no report has confirmed her appearance. With only headliner news available, the Yes case is solid but not locked in.
Arguments
For
- JAY-Z headlining makes his own catalog much more likely than in a typical halftime show.
- "Empire State of Mind" is one of the most recognizable songs tied to him and would fit a high-profile live moment.
- The song is a strong candidate if the show leans into broadly known anthem-style material.
Against
- There is still no setlist, so the song may never be chosen for the final performance.
- The absence of any confirmed Alicia Keys appearance lowers confidence that this specific version will be used.
Key drivers
- JAY-Z is the only announced performer, and "Empire State of Mind" is one of his best-known songs.
- The market is still months from the show, so a setlist decision could still favor a major crowd-pleaser.
Risk factors
- No report has confirmed Alicia Keys or any other collaborator needed to make the song feel natural in the set.
- Halftime shows are short, so even a star headliner may skip a long, recognizable song in favor of more compressed hits.
Scenarios
Best case
If Alicia Keys is announced before the show or is seen rehearsing with JAY-Z in February 2027, Yes rises to about 82%.
Most likely
Most likely JAY-Z performs a mix of signature hits and the song is either included or at least heavily considered, with Yes around 72%.
Worst case
If the final halftime setlist leaks and does not include "Empire State of Mind" in the days before February 14, 2027, Yes falls to about 58%.
More from this day
- techPolymarket47d
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by...?
AI11%MKT78%Edge-67HypedLeaning No: the newest official statements on November 10 and November 11 still say Huang remains CEO, and the board said it has confidence in him. With only about seven weeks left, a qualifying departure announcement looks less likely than the 15.5% price implies.
- pop culturePolymarket2d
"How to Rob a Bank" Rotten Tomatoes Score?
AI46%MKT15%Edge+31Hidden GemLeaning Yes: the current Tomatometer is already 56% from 16 critics, which is 11 points above the 45% cutoff. Even with a few weaker reviews before November 16, it has a decent buffer.
- pop culturePolymarket2y
Next CEO of NVIDIA?
AI2%MKT27%Edge-25HypedSlight lean to No: the market is only 4%, and the key fact is that NVIDIA has not announced Colette Kress as Jensen Huang’s successor as of November 11, 2026. The current reporting treats her as a possible interim or continuity choice, which would not satisfy the rule.