Jacksonville vs Tennessee: Touchdowns
Slight lean to No: Thomas is available, but recent snap share and targets have fallen. That keeps his touchdown chance a bit below the 17% market price.
Analysis
Nov. 12 injury listings do not show Brian Thomas Jr. as unavailable. That keeps him eligible for Sunday, but not necessarily featured.
The stronger signal is usage: his snaps and targets have fallen, and he has only two touchdowns on the season. That makes a score possible, but slightly less likely than the 17% market price implies.
Arguments
For
- He remains on Jacksonville's roster and is eligible to play.
- He already has two receiving touchdowns this season.
Against
- His recent snap count and target volume have fallen sharply.
- He was not targeted in his last game and has a limited recent role.
Key drivers
- Availability is intact for the Nov. 15 game.
- Recent usage suggests a reduced red-zone role.
Risk factors
- A sudden target spike could make him score quickly.
- An in-game injury or inactive status would eliminate the chance.
Scenarios
Best case
If his targets jump back into a featured role on Nov. 15, Yes rises to about 28%.
Most likely
Most likely he plays limited snaps and finishes without a touchdown, with Yes around 15%.
Worst case
If he stays at a limited snap share on Nov. 15, Yes falls to about 8%.
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