Jonathan Taylor Next Team
Leaning Yes: Taylor remains with Indianapolis right now, and the market’s main risk is a deadline trade. The 36% Yes price looks a bit low given no deal is imminent, but trade interest is real.
Analysis
Nov. 9: Taylor remains with Indianapolis, while the Giants have backed off a recent offer. That keeps Yes alive because a no-trade outcome by Nov. 10 would likely settle it for Indianapolis.
The counterweight is that Indianapolis is openly listening to offers, with Denver also linked and the Colts described as in sell mode. The market should hinge on whether a trade gets done before the deadline.
Arguments
For
- He is still on Indianapolis as of Nov. 9.
- A withdrawn Giants offer reduces immediate trade pressure.
Against
- The Colts are still actively shopping him.
- Denver and New York interest make a deadline deal plausible.
Key drivers
- Current team is still Indianapolis
- Trade deadline arrives on Nov. 10
Risk factors
- Active talks with multiple suitors
- One deal before the deadline ends the Yes case
Scenarios
Best case
If no trade is completed by Nov. 10, Yes rises to about 70%.
Most likely
Most likely he stays with Indianapolis through the deadline, with Yes around 40%.
Worst case
If he is traded before the deadline, Yes falls to about 0%.
Outcomes
| Outcome | AI | MKT |
|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis | 39% | 31% |
| New York G | 29% | 30% |
| Minnesota | 10% | 12% |
| Denver | 13% | 9% |
| Green Bay | 9% | 6% |
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