Green Bay vs New England: Touchdowns
Leaning No: Raridon is active, but his touchdown usage has been sparse and Green Bay tight-end defense is strong. The market’s 26% yes price looks a bit high unless Henry is ruled out and Raridon absorbs more red-zone work.
Analysis
Nov. 7 reports list Eli Raridon active, while Hunter Henry is still questionable with a foot injury. That keeps a path open to expanded snaps, but not a confirmed one.
Raridon’s recent usage was modest, with one catch on four targets in Week 8, and Green Bay has been stingy against tight ends. Unless Henry is ruled out and red-zone targets shift heavily, his touchdown odds look below the market price.
Arguments
For
- Raridon is active and could inherit more snaps.
- Injuries at receiver may funnel targets to remaining pass catchers.
Against
- His Week 8 production was minimal despite heavy playing time.
- Green Bay has been strong at limiting opposing tight ends.
Key drivers
- Hunter Henry’s final status drives Raridon’s opportunity.
- Raridon’s recent scoring usage has been limited.
Risk factors
- A Henry absence could sharply increase tight-end targets.
- A short red-zone connection can overcome low volume.
Scenarios
Best case
If Henry is ruled out before kickoff, Yes rises to about 33%.
Most likely
Most likely he plays without scoring, with Yes around 23%.
Worst case
If Henry plays and Raridon stays a low-volume option, Yes falls to about 15%.
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