Edges for Oct 24, 2026
K 0 · P 19 · 19 edges
Batches vary in size: only markets that clear the edge threshold are published.
19 of 19 edges shown
- economyPolymarket3mo
US recession by end of 2026?
AI22%MKT8%Edge+14UndervaluedI think the market is underpricing recession risk somewhat, but the contract’s resolution rules make a year-end Yes still relatively unlikely. The most plausible path is a softening economy that does not quite produce two consecutive negative GDP quarters or an NBER announcement by the Q4 advance estimate.
- pop culturePolymarketTomorrow
"Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office
AI52%MKT46%Edge+6UndervaluedClayface looks like a close call, but the balance of tracking and competitive pressure makes a sub-22 million opening slightly more likely than not. I would price the Yes side a bit above 50%, with the distribution still centered near the threshold.
- economyPolymarket3mo
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
AI11%MKT6%Edge+5UndervaluedThe labor market is weakening, but not yet in a pattern that usually produces a jump to 5.0% unemployment within the remaining 2026 reports. I assign a modestly higher chance than the market suggests, but still a low probability overall.
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- techPolymarket#4
GPT Astra 6.1+: HLE-Diamond Debut?
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#5
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#6
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
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Pro - cryptoPolymarket#7
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
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Pro - cryptoPolymarket#8
Total commitments for the 1win ($1w) public sale
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Pro - sportsPolymarket#9
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
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Pro - pop culturePolymarket#10
"Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office
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Pro - economyPolymarket#11
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
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Pro - pop culturePolymarket#12
What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (October 27)
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Pro - techPolymarket#13
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
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Pro - techPolymarket#14
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
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Pro - techPolymarket#15
Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
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Pro - cryptoPolymarket#17
Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___?
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Pro - sportsPolymarket#18
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC
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Pro - economyPolymarket#19
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
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