Edges for Oct 23, 2026
K 18 · P 30 · 48 edges
Batches vary in size: only markets that clear the edge threshold are published.
48 of 48 edges shown
- pop culturePolymarketTomorrow
"Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office
AI58%MKT3%Edge+55Hidden GemThe most credible tracking points to a debut around the high-single-digit range, with the center of gravity slightly below the 8 million line. That makes a sub-8 million opening more likely than not, though not by a huge margin because the upper end of tracking and some bullish outliers leave meaningful upside.
- cryptoPolymarket1y
Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?
AI88%MKT53%Edge+35Hidden GemThe evidence strongly suggests Papertrade’s FDV was above $25 million one day after launch. The reported launch traction, token supply, and later market data all point to a valuation far above the threshold, making Yes the clear favorite.
- techPolymarket7d
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
AI58%MKT32%Edge+26Hidden GemI lean slightly toward a release by October 31, but with meaningfully less confidence than the market’s near-term optimism suggests. The most likely outcome is still a late-October or very early-November launch, with execution risk keeping this closer to a coin flip than a strong Yes.
- ElectionsKalshi3mo
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
AI20%MKT17%Edge+3Priced InThe current 19% looks broadly fair because several forecasts cluster around a narrow Democratic majority, but adjacent seat bands are nearly as plausible. The evidence supports 234-237 as a central outcome without making it dominant.
- SportsKalshi14d
Genesis Championship Winner
AI40%MKT37%Edge+3Priced InCasey Jarvis has the strongest immediate position after the first round, but this is still a long golf tournament with plenty of volatility. The 37% Yes price looks broadly reasonable, with only a small upward adjustment warranted from the solo lead and recent form.
- SportsKalshiTomorrow
Toronto vs Washington
AI72%MKT70%Edge+2Priced InToronto enters with the stronger pregame profile and home-market support already priced in. Washington’s recent win and home court keep this from being higher, but the market looks close to fair.
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- EconomicsKalshi#4
US gas prices this week
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Pro - techPolymarket#4
GPT Astra 6.1+: HLE-Diamond Debut?
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Pro - CryptoKalshi#5
BTC price on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#5
Which party will win the House in 2026?
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Pro - ElectionsKalshi#6
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
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Pro - pop culturePolymarket#6
What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Florida?
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Pro - PoliticsKalshi#7
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 23, 2026?
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Pro - economyPolymarket#7
US recession by end of 2026?
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Pro - EntertainmentKalshi#8
Clayface · Rotten Tomatoes score
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#8
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
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Pro - SportsKalshi#9
Toronto vs Washington: Spread
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Pro - economyPolymarket#9
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
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Pro - SportsKalshi#10
Georgia St. vs Arkansas St.: Total Points
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Pro - cryptoPolymarket#10
Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___?
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Pro - ElectionsKalshi#11
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
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Pro - pop culturePolymarket#11
"Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office
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Pro - SportsKalshi#12
New York G vs Houston
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Pro - techPolymarket#12
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
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Pro - SportsKalshi#13
Tampa Bay vs Carolina: Spread
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#13
Taipei Mayor Election Winner
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Pro - SportsKalshi#14
Cincinnati vs Baltimore
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#14
Next French Presidential Election
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Pro - SportsKalshi#15
Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee: Total Runs
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Pro - economyPolymarket#15
Largest Company end of December 2026?
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Pro - SportsKalshi#16
San Francisco vs Atlanta
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Pro - cryptoPolymarket#16
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
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Pro - SportsKalshi#17
Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee: Spread
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#17
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
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Pro - SportsKalshi#18
BYU vs UCF: Spread
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#18
Texas Senate Election Winner
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Pro - techPolymarket#19
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
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Pro - cryptoPolymarket#20
Total commitments for the 1win ($1w) public sale
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Pro - economyPolymarket#21
Bank of Russia decision in October?
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Pro - economyPolymarket#22
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
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Pro - economyPolymarket#23
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
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Pro - techPolymarket#24
Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#25
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
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Pro - cryptoPolymarket#27
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
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Pro - politicsPolymarket#28
Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
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Pro - pop culturePolymarket#29
"Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office
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Pro - pop culturePolymarket#30
Will Bryan Johnson dunk before 2027?
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