"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?

The central fact here is that Resident Evil has already accumulated roughly $103M to $105M domestically, based on the recent box office figures provided. That means the film would need to add about $45M to $47M more over the remaining period to reach $150M, which is a very large amount for a movie that is already past its opening surge and is heading into its third and fourth weekends. For the Yes side of the market question, the film must stay below $150M by October 31, and the current run rate makes that the much more plausible result unless it maintains exceptional staying power well beyond the norm.

The opening pattern supports the under. A $60M domestic opening is strong, but that kind of front-loaded performance usually comes with a sharp week-to-week decline afterward, even for well-known franchise titles. The second weekend reportedly added around $23M, which is solid, but still leaves the film needing another very large chunk of revenue to approach $150M. As the release ages, weekday business and later weekends generally compress quickly, especially when the movie has already captured the bulk of its core fanbase early. That makes a late breakout to the $150M line possible in theory, but not the most likely path.

Market sentiment also seems to be drifting toward the under, even if the current price is not overwhelming. The market is pricing No, meaning above $150M, at 59%, but that still implies a meaningful chance the film does not get there. Based on the actual box office trajectory described, that pricing does not appear aggressive enough against the risk of a post-opening slowdown. The key issue is not whether the film is performing well in absolute terms, because it is; it is whether it can keep generating enough domestic revenue after already reaching the low-$100M range. Historically, that is a much harder ask than simply crossing $100M, and the remaining calendar window is relatively short.