
Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
Will Hodge be solved next before 2045?
Will the Riemann Hypothesis be resolved before 2027?
Will all remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved before 2028?
I lean slightly toward a release by October 31, but with meaningfully less confidence than the market’s near-term optimism suggests. The most likely outcome is still a late-October or very early-November launch, with execution risk keeping this closer to a coin flip than a strong Yes.
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