Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Volume$62.6M

24h Vol$9.6M

Liquidity$803.7K

Scheduled endNov 4, 2026

Spread1¢

Last trade76¢

AI runs fresh news through an independent probability model. Trades use paper money at live prices.

Price history

Yes price

77¢

All outcomes

Democrats Sweep77%
R Senate, D House18%
Republicans Sweep5%
D Senate, R House1%

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PolymarketUnited States

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Volume$62.6M

24h Vol$9.6M

Liquidity$803.7K

Scheduled endNov 4, 2026

Spread1¢

Last trade76¢

AI runs fresh news through an independent probability model. Trades use paper money at live prices.

In today's edges

See all

electionsPolymarketPolymarket rank #2 · Nov 3, 2026

AI77%

MKT77%

Edge0Priced In

Leaning Yes: the freshest polling on November 2 shows Democrats ahead in most key Senate races and still favored in the House. The main driver is that the close Senate map plus a broad House lead makes a Democratic sweep more likely than the current price implies.

Read the analysis