Which party will win the House in 2026?

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Scheduled endNov 4, 2026

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Democratic Party95%
Republican Party6%

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Which party will win the House in 2026?

Volume$43.1M

24h Vol$5.6M

Liquidity$6.2M

Scheduled endNov 4, 2026

Spread1¢

Last trade95¢

AI runs fresh news through an independent probability model. Trades use paper money at live prices.

In today's edges

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electionsPolymarketPolymarket rank #3 · Nov 3, 2026

AI94%

MKT95%

Edge-1Priced In

Slight lean to No: Democrats still look very likely to control the House, with final pre-election ratings and polling pointing their way. The biggest reason is the sustained 8-point generic-ballot edge on November 2, plus a map with many more vulnerable Republican seats.

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