PolymarketEconomy
Dem sweep & US recession by end of 2027?
Volume$32.6K
24h Vol-
Liquidity$3.7K
Scheduled endFeb 1, 2028
Spread10¢
Last trade66¢
Price history
Yes price
62¢
All outcomes
- Dem sweep; No recession62%
- Dem sweep; Recession24%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
GDP growth in 2036?
Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2036 be above 0.5%?
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2036 be above 6.0%?
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2036 be above 9.0%?
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2036 be above 57.00%?
Leaning No: Democrats look set to sweep both chambers, but the latest November 2 GDP and labor data point away from a recession by end-2027. That leaves the combined condition a bit less likely than the 34.9% market price implies.
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