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KalshiElections

Texas Senate winner?

Scheduled end Nov 3, 2027

Volume$46.2M

24h Vol$1.9M

Liquidity-

Scheduled endNov 3, 2027

Spread1¢

Last trade66¢

AI runs fresh news through an independent probability model. Trades use paper money at live prices.

Price history

Yes price

66¢

All outcomes

James Talarico66%
Ken Paxton35%

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In today's edges

ElectionsKalshiKalshi rank #3 · Oct 28, 2026

AI57%

MKT66%

Edge-9Overvalued

Leaning No: recent polling and fundraising favor Talarico, but the race remains essentially a toss-up. The market’s 65% Yes looks high versus the mixed polling and Paxton’s Republican base.

Read the analysis