KalshiPolitics

Will the bull case for Trump occur in 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2027

Volume$584.3K

24h Vol$2.7K

Liquidity$0

End dateDec 31, 2027

Spread1¢

Last trade4¢

AI runs fresh news through an independent probability model. Trades use paper money at live prices.

In today's edges

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PoliticsKalshiKalshi rank #1 · Sep 18, 2026

AI38%

MKT4%

Edge+34Hidden Gem

I think the bull case for Trump in 2026 is meaningfully more likely than the market implies, though still far from assured. My estimate is that there is roughly a 38% chance the favorable Trump-and-markets narrative remains intact through 2026.

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Price history

Yes price

4¢

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In today's edges

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PoliticsKalshiKalshi rank #1 · Sep 18, 2026

AI38%

MKT4%

Edge+34Hidden Gem

Read the analysis