Scheduled end Jan 1, 2029
Will Martin O’Malley be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Will President of France be the first to leave office?
Will Bola Tinubu leave office next in this set?
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the OASI Trust Fund reserves are depleted such that full scheduled Social Security retirement and survivors benefits are no longer payable under then-current law before Jan 1, 2033?
A reconciliation bill appears to have already become law, which would satisfy the condition well before Oct. 1, 2026. On the facts provided, I put the Yes probability extremely high unless the market uses an unusually narrow resolution rule tied to a different bill.
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