Scheduled end Oct 1, 2026
Will Martin O’Malley be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Will President of France be the first to leave office?
Will Bola Tinubu leave office next in this set?
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the OASI Trust Fund reserves are depleted such that full scheduled Social Security retirement and survivors benefits are no longer payable under then-current law before Jan 1, 2033?
A nomination has already been made, so the Yes outcome is overwhelmingly likely unless the market is using an unusually narrow definition of nomination. The current price looks like a clear misread of the event timing and the underlying news flow.
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