Scheduled end Jan 1, 2027
GDP growth in 2036?
Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2036 be above 0.5%?
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2036 be above 6.0%?
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2036 be above 9.0%?
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2036 be above 57.00%?
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 4.75%?
DOE looks meaningfully more likely than not to issue a fresh SPR solicitation before year-end, driven by ongoing reserve management, reported market outreach, and explicit public signals from Energy Secretary Chris Wright. The main reason for caution is that the current evidence is still mostly indirect, so there remains a real chance DOE keeps using quieter loan/exchange mechanisms without a formal new notice.
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