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KalshiElections

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

Scheduled end Feb 1, 2027

Volume$3.8M

24h Vol$139.4K

Liquidity-

Scheduled endFeb 1, 2027

Spread1¢

Last trade17¢

AI runs fresh news through an independent probability model. Trades use paper money at live prices.

Price history

Yes price

17¢

All outcomes

234-23717%
Above 24916%
230-23314%
238-24114%

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In today's edges

ElectionsKalshiKalshi rank #1 · Oct 23, 2026

AI20%

MKT17%

Edge+3Priced In

The current 19% looks broadly fair because several forecasts cluster around a narrow Democratic majority, but adjacent seat bands are nearly as plausible. The evidence supports 234-237 as a central outcome without making it dominant.

Read the analysis