Jonathan Taylor Next Team
Slight lean to No: New York is a serious bidder, but Taylor is still with Indianapolis and no reported offer has met the Colts' price. The market at 43% Yes looks a bit high unless a deal materializes before November 10.
Analysis
Nov. 7: Taylor remains on the Colts roster and is preparing to play Dallas. That keeps New York as only a live suitor, not a completed outcome.
Giants interest is real, but Indianapolis has not met a trade price yet and other teams are involved. With the Nov. 10 deadline close, the question is whether New York wins the bidding before then.
Arguments
For
- New York is among the strongest publicly reported suitors.
- Taylor expects a trade could happen.
Against
- He remains on Indianapolis' roster as of Nov. 7.
- Reported Colts asking price has not been met.
Key drivers
- Giants are a serious reported bidder
- Taylor is still with Indianapolis today
Risk factors
- A trade could still happen before Nov. 10
- Another team may outbid New York
Scenarios
Best case
If New York wins the bidding before Nov. 10, Yes rises to about 70%.
Most likely
Most likely Taylor stays with Indianapolis through the deadline, with Yes around 41%.
Worst case
If Indianapolis trades Taylor to another team before Nov. 10, Yes falls to about 5%.
Outcomes
| Outcome | AI | MKT |
|---|---|---|
| New York G | 42% | 43% |
| Indianapolis | 28% | 27% |
| Denver | 12% | 11% |
| Minnesota | 9% | 8% |
| Seattle | 9% | 6% |
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