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Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Leaning Yes: Democrats still have the clearest path, with final polling on November 2 showing them ahead in five Republican-held races and models around 80% for Senate control.
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Slight lean to No: Democrats still look very likely to control the House, with final pre-election ratings and polling pointing their way. The biggest reason is the sustained 8-point generic-ballot edge on November 2, plus a map with many more vulnerable Republican seats.
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Leaning Yes: the freshest polling on November 2 shows Democrats ahead in most key Senate races and still favored in the House. The main driver is that the close Senate map plus a broad House lead makes a Democratic sweep more likely than the current price implies.
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