Chicago vs Seattle: Touchdowns
No edge: Wilson has recent goal-line production, but Seattle’s backfield could split his touches. The 48% price already reflects that mixed setup.
Analysis
Oct. 31: Wilson practiced and remains in Seattle’s running back group, while Price was full-go and Charbonnet may return. That keeps his role uncertain heading into Monday night.
Wilson’s recent touchdown streak is the main Yes case, including a score against Kansas City on Oct. 25. But multiple active backs could absorb the carries and short-yardage work, and the current 48% price already captures most of that tension.
Arguments
For
- Wilson has scored in three of Seattle’s last three games.
- He handled 24 carries and scored on Oct. 25.
Against
- Price and Charbonnet returning could reduce his touches.
- A weaker line could lower red-zone rushing efficiency.
Key drivers
- Recent touchdown production supports another score
- Backfield competition threatens his goal-line usage
Risk factors
- Final inactive decisions could sharply change his workload
- Seattle could spread touchdowns among multiple backs
Scenarios
Best case
If Wilson keeps the goal-line role on Nov. 2, Yes rises to about 58%.
Most likely
Most likely Wilson shares the backfield and finishes near 49%.
Worst case
If Price and Charbonnet both play extensively on Nov. 2, Yes falls to about 40%.
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