Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

Vučić has a plausible path back to the premiership, but it still depends on the election result, coalition arithmetic, and whether he remains the governing bloc’s chosen nominee. I lean slightly toward Yes because of his institutional advantages and the market’s sustained confidence, but the outcome is still meaningfully uncertain.

The odds still look strongly tilted toward a token launch by November 30, 2026, but there is enough implementation uncertainty that I would price it a bit below the market. The most likely outcome is that Predict.fun does launch on time, though the lack of a formal date and conversion details keeps a meaningful no-risk tail.

The Odyssey looks like a strong favorite to land a Best Costume Design nomination, with broad early consensus from forecasting panels and the kind of prestige profile that usually supports below-the-line recognition. The main reason to avoid assigning an even higher probability is that costume lineup outcomes can still shift as late-season contenders strengthen or campaign momentum changes.