"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?

Resident Evil is sitting around $130.2 million domestically as of October 10–11, which means the under-150 side only wins if the movie adds fewer than about $19.8 million over the rest of the month. That is not impossible, but it is a demanding ask given that the film has already been holding reasonably well after a strong opening and is still early enough in its run to continue collecting meaningful weekday and weekend revenue. The market-implied pricing also leans heavily toward a finish above $150 million, which suggests traders expect the remaining run to be more than enough to close the gap.

The underlying performance profile supports that view. A $60 million opening gives the film a large base, and the reported third-weekend hold of about $12.6 million is not the kind of collapse that usually signals an imminent hard stop. Positive audience reception and strong critical response increase the odds of continued staying power, especially when there is no obvious immediate competition overwhelming its screens. If the film keeps generating respectable weekly totals, even a modest pace should push it past $150 million before October 31.

Arguments for Yes mostly rely on the possibility that the movie’s trajectory decays faster than expected after the fourth weekend. Late-October weekday grosses can fall sharply if the film loses premium showtimes, screens, or general urgency, and the remaining amount needed is still meaningful in absolute terms. If a new wide release pulls audience attention or if the film’s fan-driven front-loading has already exhausted much of its demand, it could stall in the low $140 millions and fail to clear the line. Still, that scenario requires a notable drop from the current pace, and the balance of evidence favors it continuing to accumulate enough revenue to finish above the threshold.